SFF Composite: 2026 NCAA Baseball Rankings

The premise.

The committee gave you 16 seeds. The RPI gave you one number. The analytical models gave you another. The Q1 and Q2 records told you who actually beat someone good. None of those alone is a complete picture.

The SFF Composite is one number per team that blends the four inputs the conversation actually centers on. RPI carries the most weight because it's still what the committee uses. ELO is the analytical cross-check. Q1 and Q2 win percentage measure how teams performed when the games actually mattered.

The SFF Composite is the engine. The SFF Pick is the output: one team per regional, with a confidence level, paired with editorial reasoning. See every SFF Pick on the bracket page.

[ The SFF Composite Formula ]

How the score is built

35% RPI rank (the NCAA's selection tool)
25% ELO rank (Warren Nolan's analytical model)
25% Quadrant 1 winning percentage
15% Quadrant 2 winning percentage

Lower SFF Composite score = better. The Δ column shows how SFF Composite ranks each seeded team relative to the committee's seeding. Positive delta means we have them higher than the committee did. Big deltas in either direction are the interesting ones.

SFF	Team	RPI	ELO	Q1	Q2	Score	Seed	Δ
1	UCLA Big Ten · 51-6	1	1	11-1	14-1	3.7	#1	+0
2	Georgia Tech ACC · 48-9	2	2	22-5	3-2	11.8	#2	+0
3	North Carolina ACC · 45-11-1	4	4	11-5	14-5	14.2	#5	+2
4	Georgia SEC · 46-12	7	5	15-7	5-2	15.9	#3	-1
5	Texas SEC · 40-13	5	3	14-9	4-2	17.3	#6	+1
6	Auburn SEC · 38-19	3	11	17-18	9-1	18.2	#4	-2
7	Alabama SEC · 37-19	6	10	15-15	4-1	20.1	#7	+0
8	Florida SEC · 39-19	11	9	16-12	7-3	21.3	#8	+0
9	Texas A&M SEC · 39-14	14	12	10-13	9-0	22.0	#12	+3
10	Southern Miss Sun Belt · 44-15	12	25	9-7	17-4	24.2	#9	-1
11	Kansas Big 12 · 42-16	19	17	11-6	11-6	25.0	#15	+4
12	Florida State ACC · 38-17	8	13	7-11	10-4	25.6	#10	-2
13	West Virginia Big 12 · 39-14	17	16	8-5	9-6	25.6	#16	+3
14	Nebraska Big Ten · 42-15	10	19	9-8	8-5	25.8	#13	-1
15	Oregon State Independent · 43-12	18	8	2-3	10-3	26.8		-
16	Oregon Big Ten · 40-16	15	32	12-10	5-1	27.1	#11	-5
17	Mississippi State SEC · 40-17	13	7	9-14	4-3	27.9	#14	-3
18	Jacksonville State Conference USA · 46-13	25	15	8-7	8-3	28.3		-
19	Arkansas SEC · 39-20	21	20	18-13	3-2	28.8		-
20	Coastal Carolina Sun Belt · 37-21	27	6	9-9	8-5	29.2		-
21	Ole Miss SEC · 36-21	16	18	14-17	3-3	31.3		-
22	USC Big Ten · 43-15	9	22	1-11	8-1	33.2		-
23	Miami (FL) ACC · 38-18	30	14	8-9	7-6	34.2		-
24	Wake Forest ACC · 38-19	20	34	5-15	7-1	36.1		-
25	Oklahoma SEC · 32-21	24	21	7-13	8-7	36.9		-
26	Virginia ACC · 36-21	26	28	7-10	9-7	37.4		-
27	Kentucky SEC · 31-21	37	24	7-8	7-5	38.5		-
28	Cincinnati Big 12 · 37-20	22	49	10-9	7-6	38.7		-
29	Liberty Conference USA · 41-19	32	41	10-10	7-4	39.4		-
30	Tennessee SEC · 38-20	31	30	12-11	3-5	39.7		-
31	Oklahoma State Big 12 · 37-20	29	50	10-12	6-2	40.0		-
32	UCF Big 12 · 31-21	36	29	5-9	10-5	40.9		-
33	Boston College ACC · 36-21	34	33	5-11	8-3	41.4		-
34	UC Santa Barbara Big West · 38-18	38	44	4-6	4-1	42.3		-
35	Missouri State Conference USA · 34-19	23	47	6-11	5-7	44.7		-
36	Arizona State Big 12 · 37-19	44	39	7-9	7-5	45.5		-
37	East Carolina American · 36-22-1	40	36	3-7	6-4	46.5		-
38	NC State ACC · 32-22	51	23	5-11	8-5	46.6		-
39	Texas State Sun Belt · 36-24	43	40	6-11	5-3	46.9		-
40	Virginia Tech ACC · 30-24	42	54	7-13	6-4	50.5		-
41	Troy Sun Belt · 32-29	35	85	7-12	5-3	54.9		-
42	Louisiana Sun Belt · 39-23	33	114	8-10	10-5	58.9		-
43	Tarleton State WAC · 37-19	56	83	1-3	3-4	67.7		-
44	The Citadel Southern · 35-24	41	92	3-10	3-9	67.8		-
45	Cal Poly Big West · 36-22	73	89	3-8	4-5	74.3		-
46	Northeastern CAA · 38-20	88	101	0-2	4-3	75.0		-
47	Northern Illinois MAC · 35-17	78	148	0-1	8-2	79.8		-
48	USC Upstate Big South · 33-28	84	99	0-6	8-11	87.8		-
49	Lamar Southland · 34-25	90	106	1-6	1-2	89.4		-
50	Washington State Mountain West · 30-26	83	137	3-8	3-7	92.0		-
51	Saint John's Big East · 33-24	102	111	0-6	7-3	92.9		-
52	Saint Mary's WCC · 34-25	140	104	0-1	5-3	93.1		-
53	Little Rock Ohio Valley · 36-26	89	121	0-5	6-7	94.5		-
54	VCU A-10 · 37-23	82	163	0-6	5-4	101.1		-
55	Rider MAAC · 33-18	119	170	0-0	0-2	104.2		-
56	Yale Ivy · 30-13-1	144	136	0-0	0-0	104.4		-
57	Binghamton America East · 31-20	118	155	1-2	0-3	111.7		-
58	Holy Cross Patriot · 21-26	167	176	0-0	0-0	122.4		-
59	Lipscomb ASUN · 29-24	155	219	0-4	0-1	141.5		-
60	Alabama State SWAC · 26-26	210	210	0-0	0-0	146.0		-
61	UIC MVC · 16-32-1	223	223	0-0	0-0	153.8		-
62	LIU NEC · 23-22	252	252	0-0	0-0	171.2		-
63	South Dakota State Summit · 20-27	261	261	0-0	0-0	176.6		-
64	Milwaukee Horizon · 10-32	290	290	0-0	0-0	194.0		-

+N SFF Composite ranks higher than committee

-N SFF Composite ranks lower than committee

Q1 = wins vs top-30 RPI · Q2 = wins vs 31-80

Where the composite disagrees with the room.

[ Best unseeded team ]

Oregon State

SFF Composite has Oregon State at No. 15 in the field despite no national seed from the committee. RPI 18, ELO 8, Q1 record 2-3, Q2 record 10-3. The numbers say they belong in the seeded tier.

[ Committee was too low ]

Kansas

Seeded 15 by the committee. SFF Composite has them at 11, a difference of 4 spots in their favor. RPI 19, ELO 17, Q1 11-6, Q2 11-6.

[ Committee was too high ]

Oregon

Seeded 11 by the committee. SFF Composite has them at 16, a difference of 5 spots in the wrong direction. RPI 15, ELO 32, Q1 12-10, Q2 5-1.

[ The bubble ]

Last Four In vs First Four Out

Eight teams were within a coin flip of each other on Selection Monday. Four got in. Four didn't. Run them all through SFF Composite and the story behind the committee's choices comes into focus.

Status	Team	RPI	ELO	Q1	Q2	Score
IN	Kentucky SEC · 31-21	37	24	7-8	7-5	38.5
IN	Liberty Conference USA · 41-19	32	41	10-10	7-4	39.4
OUT	Pittsburgh ACC · 33-24	39	43	7-13	7-3	45.1
OUT	TCU Big 12 · 33-21	46	27	6-12	5-4	46.2
IN	Texas State Sun Belt · 36-24	43	40	6-11	5-3	46.9
OUT	Mercer Southern · 44-15	28	52	1-4	9-9	50.3
OUT	Michigan Big Ten · 34-24	53	46	4-11	7-3	52.9
IN	Troy Sun Belt · 32-29	35	85	7-12	5-3	54.9

Sorted by SFF Composite. Mercer's case was built on a 28 RPI and a 44-win regular season, which is more than most at-larges had on either count. The 1-4 Q1 record was the wedge the committee used, and the composite reflects that. Pittsburgh and TCU both score better than several teams that made the field. Kentucky was the safest of the Last Four In by a meaningful margin. Mercer's case and the committee's case were both real. The call on TCU is harder to explain.

[ Methodology ]

How this page works

Source data was pulled from Warren Nolan at the close of the 2026 regular season. RPI, ELO, and Quadrant records all come from the same source so the methodology is consistent across teams. NCAA national seeds are the committee's official selections released on Selection Monday, May 25, 2026.

The weighting reasoning: RPI gets the heaviest single weight because it's still what the NCAA selection committee uses as the primary criterion. ELO is the analytical counterweight, giving credit to teams whose underlying performance was better than their record suggests. Q1 and Q2 winning percentages reward teams for beating quality opponents without punishing mid-majors as hard as a raw win-loss record would.

What we dropped from v1: Strength of Schedule was dropped because it's already inside RPI, so including it separately was double-counting. Raw Quadrant records were replaced with winning percentages so the metric scales fairly across teams with very different schedule structures.

Next season we'll update this page weekly during the regular season and daily during the postseason. The 2026 view here is a snapshot of where every team stood when the bracket was unveiled.

The 2026 SFF Composite.